BlackPacific Capital  - Tactical Investment Management

Recent Posts

The Big Lie Part 3: Stuck in Purgatory
The 500lb Gorilla in the Room
The Big Lie: Intro
The Saga Continues; Big Risks and Little Spare Capacity
They Say There Is A Lack In Demand


Weekly Market Assessment
powered by

BlackPacific Capital

It's All Bad...No Wait, It's All Good

Weekly Market Assessment
It's all bad, no wait...its all good! This week was another example of how difficult it has been this year to trade in the equity markets. On Tuesday, we had a nice rally across the markets but come Wednesday and Thursday, we lose over 475 points on some negative ISM (Institute of Supply Management) numbers that showed a contraction in the manufacturing sector of the economy. However, come Friday and we rally 370 points on a positive employment report where some 211,000 jobs were created and the unemployment rate stood at 5%. Of course this further gives the Federal Reserve the greenlight on the maximum employment side to raise rates, however we all know what we are lacking...inflation.  So we are back in the black for the year and it looks like December is going to be another tough month in trying to decide the future direction of this market. We have the last monetary policy meeting for the year in two weeks, which will put to rest the talk of interest rates for this year and will open up a world of conversation after they have made their decision to raise rates or not. I don't see any major moves in the market and think we will remain flat for the rest of the year, making it a +/-1% gain for the year. Has the market moved away from having these double digits gains for the year? Or are we just taking a break trying to assess the situation in the markets before we continue on the path of least resistance?               

 Where will we go from here? Is it time to step to the sidelines and wait out the rest of the year and avoid any additional risk from the Federal Reserve? Usually two weeks into December, large investment firms and hedge funds will begin to liquidate positions and begin the process of looking into what next year has to bring and to make funds available for taxes. This brings added volatility to the market and individual stocks as these large positions are winded down. The VIX (volatility Index) remains at depressed levels which expresses stability in the market for the time being. The 10 Year Treasury Bond currently trades at 2.25%, which also expresses calm in the markets as no one is running for cover and safely in the all mighty Treasury Bonds. Could this all change in one week, scratch that even in one day, absolutely. We have seen this happen many times just in this past year. Is the market fooling us to move into riskier assets before it pulls the rug out from beneath us with an end of year rate hike? Or is it safe to jump in feeling warm and cozy that the market is on strong footing? This is of course the foundation to every investment decision, do I wait it out or do I take on the risk? One thing we know for sure is that over the past six years the decision to take on the risk has so far been the best decision. The secular bull market I believe will remain intact in the face and aftermath of an interest rate hike. So on that note, here is to the bull that continues to run!                      

Making the Watchlist: Below are the stocks that I will be looking at over the coming months.  I will provide the the current stock price and why I am watching them. I will comment on them as I continue to keep an eye on them.  You will be able to see and follow their growth and/or decline. Chart links may be attached.         
See What I'm Trading:You can now view all my real-time trades by following this link, BlackPacific Capital1. This new site shows my trades, in real time the minute they are bought and sold. Below you can also click on the stock symbols, trade strategy or prices which will lead you to this new site. The site offers a full risk/return profile and video detailing the strategy of the trade. Note: When looking at the option positions every contract equals 100 shares.    

BlackPacific Capital has created three funds. The first is the Total Return Fund and the other is the Growth Fund. Both of these funds will be compared against the S&P 500. Both will hold a total of no more than five companies each. The Total Return Fund is a low turnover fund where every holding must have a dividend and be undervalued to its peers. The growth fund is made up of momentum high growth stocks where the turnover rate is much higher. Below are their Weekly and Year to Date returns. For more information and to see the holdings in each fund click here

 New holdings and liquidated positions: I have finally been able to add Exxon Mobil (XOM) to the Total Return Fund at $79 and locked in a yield of 3.6%.  I have also sold out of the position in Netflix (NFLX) at $129.75 for a total return on the position of 30.73%. I have also added Square(SQ) at $11.90 to the Growth Fund and have given up on opening a position in Tesla (TSLA).   

S&P 500 Return 
Week: 0.04%
Year to Date: 1.81% 

Year to Date: 2.45%

Week: 8.02%
Year to Date: 8.02% 

19 Comments to It's All Bad...No Wait, It's All Good :

Comments RSS
Nifty Future on Wednesday, January 20, 2016 2:15 AM
Wonderful post about market. Federal Reserve increase interest rates this is nice news about all traders. Thank you for sharing nice market news. Please keep updating!!!!!!
Reply to comment

swiss rolex on Thursday, August 18, 2016 8:03 PM
However, come Friday and we rally 370 points on a positive employment report where some 211,000 jobs were created and the unemployment rate stood at 5%.
Reply to comment

replique montre on Thursday, November 10, 2016 11:09 PM
and we rally 370 points on a positive employment r
Reply to comment

montre replique on Thursday, November 10, 2016 11:09 PM
ket. Federal Reserve increase interest rates this is nice news about all traders. Thank you for sharing nice market news. Please keep
Reply to comment

replica rolex on Wednesday, November 30, 2016 10:55 PM
Please keep updating
Reply to comment

imitatie horloges on Wednesday, November 30, 2016 10:57 PM
Wonderful post about market
Reply to comment

Deadpool Biker Jacket on Wednesday, November 14, 2018 3:16 AM
Good post. Thanks for sharing with us. I just loved your way of presentation. I enjoyed reading this .Thanks for sharing and keep writing. It is good to read blogs like this. As constantly, we appreciate yourself assurance and accept as true within us.
Reply to comment

gradeonfire on Friday, November 30, 2018 2:51 AM
This is such a heart-wrenching post. I will write about this poor baby in my assignment for top CV writing services, maybe then we will be able to get more fund.
Reply to comment

Buy Justice League Ja on Thursday, January 3, 2019 4:29 AM
Nice post keep sharing such kind of quality Stuff you must visit online games where you find excellent stuff.
Reply to comment

PT Simplot Agritama on Wednesday, February 6, 2019 7:13 AM
k Tartak. Negara favoritnya baginya adalah Amerika Serlink 5 distributor plat high tensile sm490ya distributor plat kapal distributor plat stainless ss304 distributor plat stainless ss310 distributor plat stainless ss316 distributor plat sumihard distributor round bar besi aisi 440s45c distributor round bar scm440 distributor steel rail distributor steel sheet pile jual astm a283 c undangan pernikahan kalender Jual besi hollow Jual besi hollow Toko besi siku Toko pipa besi baja sch 40 sch 80 undangan pernikahan bentuk tas Supplier Besi H beam Agen Wiremesh Besi baja Jual plat kapal besi baja Pabrik besi beton master steel ms Supplier besi hollow Supplier besi hollow Toko pipa besi baja sch 40 sch 80 Toko besi hollow undangan pernikahan ada fotonya Supplier Besi Beton Toko Wiremesh Besi baja Supplier plat kapal besi baja Pabrik besi beton ksty Toko besi hollow Toko besi hollow Toko Plat besi Toko besi beton Sni Ulir Polos undangan pernikahan aneh Jual Wiremesh Besi baja Toko plat kapal besi baja Pabrik besi beton krakatau steel Agen besi hollow Agen besi hollow Toko besi h beam Toko besi wf baja undangan pernikahan amplop Pabrik Welded Beam T beam King Queen Cross Castellated Beam Harga Wiremesh Besi baja Agen plat kapal besi baja Pabrik besi beton jcac Pabrik besi hollow Pabrik besi hollow Toko besi wf Toko besi unp undangan pernikahan batik Pabrik Bondek Cor Pabrik Wiremesh Besi baja Pabrik plat kapal besi baja Pabrik besi beton interworld steel is Distributor pipa besi Distributor pipa besi Toko wiremesh Toko besi siku undangan pernikahan murah Pabrik Atap Spandek Sni Distributor Besi Siku Baja
Reply to comment

webstagram on Tuesday, March 26, 2019 9:47 PM
I was searching for something like this ,Thank you for posting the colossal substance… … I thought that it was tranquil fascinating.
Reply to comment

Dragon city hacks available on Monday, July 15, 2019 11:38 PM
Train your cute baby dragons and evolve them into impressive beasts that will defend you in battle
Reply to comment

Birds Of Prey Wi on Tuesday, September 3, 2019 1:27 AM
Nice and interesting post,I appreciate your hard work,keep uploading more, Thank you for sharing valuable information.
Reply to comment

cheap minibus coach hire on Tuesday, October 1, 2019 9:54 PM
One of the key attractions here is no doubt the Crown Jewels, which until today, are still regularly used by the Queen. minibus hire dewsbury minibus hire kent minibus hire leicester minibus hire glasgow minibus hire scarborough
Reply to comment

sims 4 cheats on Tuesday, October 29, 2019 10:14 PM
your blog is very good and informative for peoples. i like your blog and i am really impressed to see your blog thanks for sharing the wonderful blog. Are your sims in game sims 4 cheats ready for the perfect photo shoot?
Reply to comment

Mystery Chest Coin Master on Thursday, February 6, 2020 11:36 PM
To win this game, you must complete villages. Each following village is slightly more expensive than the last.
Reply to comment

neelam on Monday, March 2, 2020 11:38 PM
Call girls in Gurgaon | Best and affordable Gurgaon Escorts 0000000000
Call @ 0000000000, We serve for the VIP clients who are seeking the most astonishing, delightful and splendid model-independent Call Girls in Gurgaon
Call girls in Rishikesh 0000000000 Independent Escorts Service Rishikesh
Are feeling exhausted and tired without Call girls Rishikesh 0000000000 Book High Profile Call girls in Rishikesh, Escorts in Rishikesh VIP russian escort.
High Profile Call Girls in Gurgaon | 0000000000 | Escorts in Gurgaon
Beautiful High Profile Call Girls in Gurgaon. As escorts in Gurgaon Service offer satisfied service for you & get a perfect choice
Best escorts in Gurugram | 9990069753 | high profile call girls Gurugram
We offer our great VIP deals independent escorts Gurugram & high profile call girls Gurugram who will give you deep lusty lovemaking session.
VIP call Girls in Gurgaon | 0000000000 | Independent escorts
Best high profile call girls in Gurgaon 0000000000, beautiful call girls Gurgaon & independent Escorts in Gurugram, Haryana. Hire sexy girls models Gurgaon.
Call girls in Gurgaon Call @ 0000000000 & get bets Gurgaon Escorts
100% Authorised call girls in Gurgaon booking. Call 0000000000 for booking escorts in Gurgaon, get best Call girls in Gurgaon
Call girls in Dwarka Book now 0000000000 Dwarka Escorts Service
We are hot & sexy Independent Escorts in Dwarka call 0000000000 for VIP Call girls in Dwarka, feel deep sex @ High Profile call girls Dwarka.
24 Hour Service Call Girls in Gurgaon 0000000000 Escorts in Gurgaon
Hello, i am Muskan 24*7 call girls in Gurgaon service provider. I am Gurgaon escorts entrepreneur, as an business Russian escorts in Gurgaon.
Call girls in Dehradun 0000000000 | Dehradun VIP Escorts Service
Enjoy fun with Independent call girls in Dehradun 0000000000 Book Escorts Service in Dehradun now. High profile escorts in Dehradun, Vip call girls Dehradun
Independent Agra Escorts Services 0000000000 VIP Call girls in Agra
Agra Escorts service have gathered a collection of the most sexy High profile call girls in Agra, VIP Russian Models collection, independent escorts in Agra
Naughty Nights in Delhi 0000000000 Premium Call Girls in Delhi
Find the most beautiful russian Call Girls in Delhi 24/7 by connecting our high profile female independent Escorts in Delhi . Call: 0000000000
Call Girls In Haridwar 0000000000 High profile Russian Escorts Haridwar
Hire independent Russian call girls in Haridwar, Our VIP call girls Haridwar offered services 24/7 Call 0000000000, high profile escorts Haridwar & Models.
Call girls in udaipur
call girl in udaipur
Call girls in Noida
Call girl services in udaipur
Best Call girls in udaipur
Call girl in Haridwar
Escorts in Haridwar
call girls in noida
Reply to comment

Walking Dead Leather Vest on Tuesday, June 9, 2020 2:49 PM
I Was Eagerly Looking For Content Like This, Right To The Point And Detailed As Well Accordingly Depending Upon The Matter/Topic. You Have Managed This Greatly For Sure.
Reply to comment

Best Welding Helmets on Thursday, June 18, 2020 11:56 PM
Best Welding Helmets;The next time I read a blog, I hope that it doesn't disappoint me just as much as this particular one. I mean, I know it was my choice to read, but I actually believed you would probably have something useful to say. All I hear is a bunch of whining about something you can fix if you were not too busy searching for attention.
Reply to comment

Add a Comment

Your Name:
Email Address: (Required)
Make your text bigger, bold, italic and more with HTML tags. We'll show you how.
Post Comment